Tuesday, January 3, 2012

CET 12:00 (ATP Doha. Hard) Ivo KARLOVIC - Sergiy STAKHOVSKY


Tip:   Ivo Karlovic will win @ 1.75

Why? See below..

With the start of the new season of ATP Doha, today we will try to analyze one of the matches between Ivo Karlovic (CRO) versus Sergei Stakhovsky (UKR).

Latest games of Stakhovsky:
18.11.11 Stakhovsky - Berankis P. 1:2 (7:6, 3:6, 2:6)
16.11.11 Stakhovsky - Taysheir M 2:0 (6;1, 6:3)
14.11.11 Stakhovsky - Tsapkovich K. 2:0 (7:6, 7:5)
09.11.11 Troicki V. - Stakhovsky 2:0 (6:4,6:4)
08.11.11 Nishikori K. - Stakhovsky 0:2 (4:6, 3:6)

Latest games of Karlovic:
25.10.11 Karlovic - Bedene A. 0:2 (6:7, 0:6)
16.10.11 Karlovic - Querry S. 2:1 (6:7, 6:1 , 6:4)
15.10.11 Karlovic - Fau B. 2:0 (7:5, 7:5)
14.10.11 Karlovic - Fisher M 2:1 (7:5, 4:6, 6:3)
12.10.11 Karlovic - Fara R. 2:0 ( 7:6, 6:2)

Ivo Karlovic in total played 77% of his matches on hard surface, which tells us that the best results he has archived was on hard surface. Meanwhile this particular event (ATP Doha) he will start with injury, which he got at ATP Vienna, that means we should expect not an easy game. Before the injury he have won 2 events in Sacramento and Tiburon, that tells us he was in a great form. Before ATP Doha he had enough time to repair his injury and get his best form for the tournament. Outstanding serve + not bad game at volley,  what else do you need to win a match? He has every potential, and that is a huge plus for our bet.

What about Stakhovsky? Now there is no potential, but he used to be a good player few years back.

Sergei has also played 73% games on hard surface. Hard surface is also profitable place for Stakhovsky, but unfortunately Sergei couldn't show the same result as Karlovic did. Last season was terrible for him.
Although he managed to win some known names in last season , such as Nishikori and less known playets Tsapkvocih and Taysher. Last two do not know how to play on hard and Nishikori was just TO tired and gave the victory for two candies. He showed a lot of unforced errors last season. (even on the back line - his favorite shot).

Head to head:
15.03.09 Karlovic - Stakhovsky 2:0 (6:4, 6:2)
05.02.09 Karlovic - Stakhovsky 1:2 ( 4:6,6:3,3:6)
26.02.08 Karlovic - Stakhovsky 1:2 (6:4,6:7,2:6)

We shouldnt cosnider the head to head matches, because the condition of players on totaly different levels. But statistics shows that head to head matches on hard surface is 1:1.

All in all, after research that have been made I believe the more suitable bet for this match would be win for Karlovic (coefficient: 1.75). At the current moment Karlovic has all the components to win the match, he is simply better with his serve and volley.




2 comments:

  1. Sorry for my bad english. Looking forward to the comments (which will help to improve current blog in the future). Next match analyze will be tomorrow.

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  2. Update: Ivo Karlovic 6-7(1) 6-2 7-6(3) Sergei Stakhovsky

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